December 2, 2022

Gookin’s Trends Week Eleven

Louisiana-Lafayette is 17-3 on the under in its last 20 home games.

The over has hit in 9 of the last 11 games between Tulsa and Memphis. Memphis has also gone over the point total in 9 of their last 10 games.

Cincinnati has won 5-straight games against the spread versus East Carolina.

UNLV and Fresno State have gone over the point total in 5 of the last 7 matchups. Each team has also gone over the point total in 4 of their last 5 games this season.

Oklahoma and WVU have gone over the point total in 6 of the last 7 matchups. WVU has gone over the point total in 4 of its last 5 home games, as well.

Duke and Virginia Tech have trended in opposite directions in first half success. The Blue Devils have averaged 20.7 points per first half in their last 3 games, while the Hokies have plummeted to 6.7 points. Duke is a 5.5-point first half favorite.

Purdue and Illinois have hit the under in each of their last 5 matchups.

SMU has been one of the most explosive first half teams in the country this season, while USF has struggled on both sides in the first half. SMU is a 10-point first half favorite, but if you’re taking the over (the over has hit in 5-straight USF home games), sprinkle some on the first half over as well.

Indiana is 5-0 against the spread at the Horseshoe against Ohio State in its last 5 road matchups.

Notre Dame and Navy have hit the over in 8 of their last 11 matchups. However, both teams rely heavily on the run while also having strong run defenses. With a breezy Saturday forecast, expect a slow start to scoring and consider the first half 22.5 under.

Washington State is 8-1 against the spread at home in its last 9 games. 

Iowa State has gone under the point total in 5-straight games. While Oklahoma State still ranks in the top-30 in scoring offense, they’ve cooled off recently, scoring just 16 points total in their last two games.

North Texas has steadily become one of the best first quarter teams in the country, winning 7-straight first quarter spread bets. They are +140 ML in the first quarter against UAB.

Houston is one of the best 2nd half teams in the country, while Temple has proven to be one of the worst. With Houston currently favored by 20 points, take Houston ATS if the halftime spread is under that number.

Iowa has gone under the point total in 4 of their last 5 home games and are 7-2 on the under as a home underdog since 2015. 

Penn State is 5-1 against the spread in the last 6 games against Maryland. The Nittany Lions are also 3-0 in first half spreads over the past three games. They are 6-point first half favorites against Maryland.

Army has gone under the point total in 6 of their last 7 road games.

Appalachian State and Marshall have been strong on the under recently—App State has gone under in 4 of their last 5 games and 5 of their last 7 road games, while Marshall has gone under in each of their last 5 games and 8 of their last 9 home games.

Kansas State and Baylor have gone over the point total in 5 of the last 6 games in Waco. Baylor has also hit the over in 5-straight games this season.

Boise State and Nevada have gone under the point total in 6 of the last 8 matchups. Boise State has gone under the point total in 8 of their last 9 games.

San Diego State is 0-4 against the spread as a home favorite this season. San Jose State is 1-0 ATS as away dogs.

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Alex Gookin 60 Articles
Staff Writer

Gookin is an Iowa State graduate with a degree in journalism, but decided writing professionally wasn't all it was cracked up to be. Instead, he took an unpaid position to write content for this blog, which seems counter-intuitive, but he enjoys it, nonetheless. Gookin was voted male with the “Most School Spirit,” and 2nd most flirtatious in his senior class. He enjoys statistics no one else has the patience to look up and enjoys Iowa State athletics more than he’s willing to admit. A closet Hawkeye fan (false), you can find Alex being harassed by at least one bad Twitter troll and winning nearly all of his online fights (less false, but false).

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