December 2, 2022

Gookin’s Trends Week nine

Florida International is one of the worst first half teams in the country, ranking 106th in points per first half and 105th in points allowed per first half. Louisiana Tech is currently a 3.5-point first half favorite.

East Carolina has covered the spread in each of the previous two meetings with BYU. BYU has failed to cover the spread in 6-straight games this season.

Syracuse is 6-1 in 1st quarter spreads this season while Notre Dame is 2-5. The Orange are 0.5-point 1st quarter favorites.

Houston has hit the over in 6 of 7 games this season.

Miami (OH) and Akron have gone under the point total in 10 of the last 14 matchups. Additionally, Miami (OH) is 6-1 on the under this season.

Auburn and Arkansas have gone over the point total in 7 of the last 8 matchups. The teams are a combined 10-4 on the over this year.

Iowa State is 1-3 straight up AND against the spread in games with a spread of less than a touchdown this season.

Georgia Tech has covered the spread in 7-straight games against Florida State.

Boston College has covered the spread in the last 4 games against UConn.

West Virginia is 8-2 against the spread versus TCU since joining the Big 12 and the under is 7-3 in those games. 

Ohio State and Penn State are each 5-2 on the over this season, but are just 1-5-1 on the over when playing each other the past 7 years. 

The under has hit in 7 of the last 8 games between Virginia and Miami.

Kansas State has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Oklahoma State in Manhattan.

Illinois and Nebraska contrast one of the best and worst first quarter teams in the country. The Illini are 6-1 against the spread in the first quarter this season, while Nebraska is just 2-5. Illinois is a 0.5-point favorite in the first quarter this weekend.

Central Florida has been one of the most hot-and-cold teams in the country, covering the spread in 4 of their 5 wins, but failing to cover in their 2 losses. They are 1-point favorites against Cincinnati, but have struggled against strong rushing defenses this season. The Bearcats are #5 nationally in defensive yards per rush and #23 in rushing defense.

Oregon and Cal feature two defenses that are stout against the run and horrible against the pass. While both teams are above average passing teams, Oregon relies much more on their rushing attack for offensive production. Cal is 3-1 against the spread at home and are 17-point underdogs.

Wake Forest and Louisville have gone over the point total in each of the last 6 games against each other.

The road team has won 6 of the last 7 games between Iowa and Northwestern. They have also gone under the point total in 5-straight games, and have gone under 30 points in 4 of the last 5.

Tennessee has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 games against Kentucky.

USC and Arizona have gone under the point total in each of the last 4 games in Tucson.

Boise State is 8-3 against the spread versus Colorado State since 2011 and are 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

San Diego State and Fresno State have gone under the point total in 7 of the last 8 matchups.

Muddy Bites banner, with photos of delicious waffle cone tips and Muddy Bites packages on a light blue background - "Muddy Bites Happiness Multiplied" -
Alex Gookin 60 Articles
Staff Writer

Gookin is an Iowa State graduate with a degree in journalism, but decided writing professionally wasn't all it was cracked up to be. Instead, he took an unpaid position to write content for this blog, which seems counter-intuitive, but he enjoys it, nonetheless. Gookin was voted male with the “Most School Spirit,” and 2nd most flirtatious in his senior class. He enjoys statistics no one else has the patience to look up and enjoys Iowa State athletics more than he’s willing to admit. A closet Hawkeye fan (false), you can find Alex being harassed by at least one bad Twitter troll and winning nearly all of his online fights (less false, but false).

Be the first to comment

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

%d bloggers like this: