April 17, 2024

Gookin’s Gambling Trends Week Seven

Both Louisiana and Marshall have gone under the point total each of the last two weeks by double digits. 

The over has hit in 7 of the last 9 match-ups between UCF and Temple. However, both teams are just 1-4 on the over this season and Temple’s 130th-ranked scoring offense faces a stout 11th-ranked scoring defense in the Golden Knights. Expect UCF to run the clock after taking a quick lead. 

Since West Virginia joined the Big 12, the home team has won this matchup in 9 of 10 matchups. West Virginia has been a home underdog in this game twice, going 2-0 in those games (2014, 2020). 

Navy and SMU feature two polar opposite offensive attacks: Navy is 4th in rushing yards per game (vs. 114th-ranked SMU rushing defense) and SMU is 1st in passing yards per game (vs. 109th ranked Navy passing defense). Two of the least-penalized teams in the nation, this game has the potential for quick scoring drives, especially if the favored Mustangs force Navy to play catch-up. 

Kansas has covered the spread against Oklahoma in 4 of the last 5 seasons. Kansas is 2-0 ATS on the road this season while Oklahoma is 1-2 at home. 

The under has hit in the last 4 games between Auburn and Ole Miss. 

Minnesota and Illinois will try to out-Big Ten the Iowa-Illinois game last week (9-6 final score) with another battle between defensive elites and smashmouth rushing attacks. Don’t be afraid of the under. 

Iowa State and Texas have gone under the point total in 7 consecutive seasons. While Texas is one of the hottest offenses in the country, the Cyclones have only allowed more than 14 points once in 6 games this season. 

Since 2011, Miami and Virginia Tech have gone on a 3-year rotation of Miami-Miami-Virginia Tech against the spread (for example: 2011, Miami; 2012, Miami; 2013, Virginia Tech). If the trend continues for its 4th full rotation, Virginia Tech should be expected to cover the spread on Saturday. 

The home team has won the last 5 consecutive games between California and Colorado. Expect that streak to break this season. 

Nick Saban is 54-8 straight up as a road favorite at Alabama. He’s also 35-26-1 (57.4%) ATS as an away favorite. 

Arkansas and BYU have combined to go 9-3 on the over this season. 

Wisconsin has found success early in games this season, ranking 28th in first half points per game. Michigan State, meanwhile, has struggled to stop offenses and ranks 99th in first half points allowed. 

Utah State and Colorado State feature two of the highest turnover, highest penalized teams in the country. The teams have combined to average 35.5 points per game this season. The current total is at 45.5. 

The home team has won 7-straight games in this series between Kentucky and Mississippi State, with Kentucky being 2-0 in games they were a home underdog. 

The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games between Purdue and Nebraska. 

New Mexico and New Mexico State have combined for at least 58 points in the last 8 consecutive meetings. The total is currently 37.5 points. 

The over had hit in 8 consecutive games between Washington State and Oregon State before going under the total last season (31-24, total 59.0). The current total of 52.5 points is the lowest total in the series since 2007. 

The over has hit in 10 of the last 12 games between Air Force and UNLV. 

The under has hit in 5 consecutive games between Fresno State and San Jose State. 

The under has hit in 9 consecutive games between Nevada and Hawaii. 

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Alex Gookin
Alex Gookin 65 Articles
Staff Writer

Gookin is an Iowa State graduate with a degree in journalism, but decided writing professionally wasn't all it was cracked up to be. Instead, he took an unpaid position to write content for this blog, which seems counter-intuitive, but he enjoys it, nonetheless. Gookin was voted male with the “Most School Spirit,” and 2nd most flirtatious in his senior class. He enjoys statistics no one else has the patience to look up and enjoys Iowa State athletics more than he’s willing to admit. A closet Hawkeye fan (false), you can find Alex being harassed by at least one bad Twitter troll and winning nearly all of his online fights (less false, but false).

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