February 5, 2023

Gookins Trends Championship Week

Buffalo has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games against Akron.

North Texas and UTSA have gone under the total in 6 of the last 7 games against each other. Unranked underdogs have had quite a bit of success against ranked favorites in conference championship games, going 14-6 against the spread in the last 20 games. North Texas is a 9-point dog to #23 UTSA.

The underdog has covered the spread in 4-straight matchups between USC and Utah.

TCU and Kansas State have gone under the total in 6 of their last 7 matchups. The Big 12 Championship has gone under the point total in 9 of the last 11 games.

The underdog in the Toledo and Ohio matchup has gone 6-2-1 against the spread in the last 9 games in the series, while the underdog has gone 12-4-1 against the spread in the MAC Championship game in the last 17 games.

Troy and Coastal Carolina have gone over the point total in each of their last 5 games. Conference championship game totals of 48 or less have gone 17-9 on the over. If you can get it at 48, slam it.

LSU has gone 4-0-1 ATS against Georgia in their last 5 matchups. The over has also been good in this matchup, going 7-2 over the past 9 in the series, while the SEC title game is 12-4-1 on the over in the past 17 games.

Boise State and Fresno State have gone under the point total in 6 of their last 7 matchups, and the Mountain West Championship game has gone under in 7 of the last 9.

The underdog has covered the spread between UCF and Tulane in 6 of the last 7 in the series. However, Tulane has covered ATS in their last 2 games and UCF has failed to cover the spread in their last 2. In instances when a favorite has covered multiple games in a row is playing against a dog who has failed to cover multiple games in a row, the underdog is 10-1 ATS in conference title games.

Purdue is a 16.5-point underdog to #2 Michigan. Like North Texas, unranked underdogs are 14-6 ATS against ranked favorites in conference championship games.

UNC has failed to cover the spread in two-straight games. Underdogs coming off multiple games they failed to cover are 19-4 ATS in their conference championship games. UNC is a 7.5-point dog to Clemson.

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Alex Gookin 60 Articles
Staff Writer

Gookin is an Iowa State graduate with a degree in journalism, but decided writing professionally wasn't all it was cracked up to be. Instead, he took an unpaid position to write content for this blog, which seems counter-intuitive, but he enjoys it, nonetheless. Gookin was voted male with the “Most School Spirit,” and 2nd most flirtatious in his senior class. He enjoys statistics no one else has the patience to look up and enjoys Iowa State athletics more than he’s willing to admit. A closet Hawkeye fan (false), you can find Alex being harassed by at least one bad Twitter troll and winning nearly all of his online fights (less false, but false).

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