October 4, 2022

Gookin’s Gambling Trends Week Four

The away team is 5-0 both straight up and against the spread between Coastal Carolina and Georgia State in the past 5 seasons.

The over has hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings between Nevada and Air Force. They combined for 53+ points in each of the last 6 meetings.

Baylor has covered the spread as an underdog against Iowa State in each of the last 4 seasons, but the home team has won each of the last 4 games straight up.

Kansas (#1 FPI offense) and Duke (#6 FPI offense) face off this weekend with an O/U of 64.5. Kansas has scored at least 48 points and Duke has scored at least 30 points in all 3 of their games this season.

The over has hit in 8 of the last 11 matchups between TCU and SMU. They average 37.5 and 38.0 points per game so far in 2022.

The over has hit in 6 of the last 8 games between Buffalo and Eastern Michigan, including each of the last 4 matchups.

Clemson is 30-3 straight up as an away favorite since 2015. They are 7.5-point favorites at Wake Forest this weekend.

Michigan has won and covered in 6-straight contests against Maryland.

USF and Louisville have gone under the point total in each of the last 5 games played in Louisville, dating back to 2004.

Auburn and Missouri meet for just the 3rd time as SEC conference mates and for the first time in Auburn. Auburn won straight up, covered the spread, and hit the over in both of the previous meetings (neutral site and away).

Temple and UMass are two of the worst offenses in the country, ranking 129th and 124th in points per game. In the last two games between these teams, UMass covered the spread in low-scoring games, both also hitting the under.

Texas has covered the spread in 9 of the last 12 games against Texas Tech.

Toledo features a strong rushing attack (5.1 yards per rush) against a San Diego State defense that ranks 80th in yards per rush and 84th in rushing yards per game. SDSU has failed to cover the spread in all three games this season.

The underdog has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games between Minnesota and Michigan State. However, Minnesota has covered the spread in all 3 games this season as double-digit favorites. They are 2.5-point favorites against MSU.

Indiana and Cincinnati are two of the most prolific passing offenses in the nation (#9 and #12 in passing yards per game, respectively) and the teams have combined to hit the over in 5 of their 6 games this season.

The underdog has covered the spread in 6-straight games between Arizona and California.

Houston has won 6-straight against Rice and has covered the spread in 5 of those games.

Iowa is 19-1 straight up as a road favorite since 2015. They take on Rutgers as 7.5-point favorites this weekend. The game features two of the worst offenses and two of the best defenses in the nation. However, Rutgers passing offense is particularly horrific, averaging 4.3 yards per pass (#127 nationally) against an Iowa pass defense allowing just 4.0 yards per pass (#5 nationally).

Arkansas has covered the spread in the last 4 games against Texas A&M. The Razorbacks feature one of the best rushing attacks in college football (262 yards per game, #6 nationally) against a Texas A&M defense allowing 179.0 yards per game (#90 nationally).

Ohio State is 5-0 both straight up and against the spread against Wisconsin in Columbus since the 2007 season.

Miami (OH) and Northwestern have played 5 times since the 1995 season. The RedHawks have covered in 4 of the 5 matchups.

Kansas State has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games against Oklahoma and the over has hit in 11 of the last 14 games. However, expect lots of running clock as KSU and Oklahoma are top-25 in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game.

Florida State has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games against Boston College. The Eagles are 0-3 against the spread this season.

Hawaii has covered the spread against New Mexico State on the road in each of the last 4 meetings.

The underdog has covered the spread in the last 5 games between Stanford and Washington. However, Washington is 3-0 against the spread this season, while underdog Stanford is 0-2.

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Alex Gookin 51 Articles
Staff Writer

Gookin is an Iowa State graduate with a degree in journalism, but decided writing professionally wasn't all it was cracked up to be. Instead, he took an unpaid position to write content for this blog, which seems counter-intuitive, but he enjoys it, nonetheless. Gookin was voted male with the “Most School Spirit,” and 2nd most flirtatious in his senior class. He enjoys statistics no one else has the patience to look up and enjoys Iowa State athletics more than he’s willing to admit. A closet Hawkeye fan (false), you can find Alex being harassed by at least one bad Twitter troll and winning nearly all of his online fights (less false, but false).

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